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, . , 1997. [ 19 ]


. , 1997. [ 19 ]
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ᯥ稢 ।⢠ 筮
㭨樨, 室  ⥭  ࠩ  ଠ-
 ⮭  樯.   ᫥ 室  ᢮
⠭  ⠯: ࢮ砫 ᯥ樠  ଥ 
।⭮ ਥ樨 ⤥ ᫥⥫, 樮-
 뤥 ⥩ १ ᮧ 樠権 祭  ᫥-
騩 ⠯  ९   筮 ᭮,  ଠ
㭨᪨ .   ⠪ <⠬⠫樨>
ᮧ 樮  䨪樨 ⮤, ⥮਩,
業ࠫ ⥬  ᫥⥫᪨ ꥪ⮢  ⮩ ᠬ।-
襩 樯,  ந  室 ᨮ-
 ⮢.

^1 쥧 㤭 ⮤᪮ ᢮⢠ ⠢ 㡥,
--
,  ⮬,  ᪠ ॠ쭮       ⮫
।-
   塞,  ⠫  樠 ਪ,  
-
,  ⮬,   ࠭ ॠ⨢ ᫥⥫ < 
祭
⮣,  ⮫쪮  ꥪ⨢ ᢨ⥫⢮>. CM.: Fitch N. Statistical
Fantasies
and Historical Facts: History in Crisis and its Methodological Implications //
Historical
Methods. 1984. Vol. 17.  4. P. 239-254 (P. 241).

26

 㡮 ७樠樨, 맢 ७ ᠬ
। ਨ, ⮬ ᫠  ࠧࠧ 砥 ꥪ⮢ 
⮤  ᫥,  ⠪ ᯮᮡ ࠡ⪨ 筨, -
  뤥     㡤樯   樮-
樨   筮 ,   ⥬ ࠧ (饥 ஡
祡 ᮢ ਨ  ணࠬ ⮢ 㤥⮢-ਪ 
祭 ᯥ樠 ⮤ ⢥ ), 祬  -
७  ९⥫᪮ । ᫠ ᢮    ^ .

  ᪨ 樯 ८ࠧ ᫮-
 ⥬ ᪮ 㪨   ஬ ᯥ樠  ᯮ-
⥫ 



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